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Trump's Impeachment Predicted
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<blockquote data-quote="Zable" data-source="post: 111189" data-attributes="member: 47"><p>That ^ was last year.</p><p></p><p>Last month, when asked about the current odds for an impeachment of Donald Trump, Prof Lichtman told the Washington Times: <em>“I see grounds for it, as an observer, but I don’t see the politics of it.”</em> </p><p></p><p>News report extract:</p><p></p><p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>Sometimes lost in the raucous rancor, as <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/" target="_blank"><u>Mr. Lichtman</u></a> noted, is the difference between the legal case and the politics. While he initially predicted that a Republican <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/congress/" target="_blank"><u>Congress</u></a> would set impeachment into motion, he no longer seems certain.</em></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>The one thing that could change all that would be an explosive report from independent counsel Robert Mueller in the coming months that “boxed the Republicans in,” he said.</em></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>“The politics of it is really complicated,” <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/" target="_blank"><u>Mr. Lichtman</u></a> said. “I don’t think this is going to develop organically in <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/congress/" target="_blank"><u>Congress</u></a>, and so the critical component has to come from the special counsel. One scenario in which the Republicans could act is if pressure built after the special counsel comes back in, say, June with something truly shocking like money laundering or obstruction of justice.”</em></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>That would trigger what <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/" target="_blank"><u>Mr. Lichtman</u></a> ranks as a premier rule of holding office, namely survival. If Republicans conclude that defending Mr. <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/trump-inc/" target="_blank"><u>Trump</u></a> from such a report could make the party radioactive in November, they might have to act.</em></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>Although <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/" target="_blank"><u>Mr. Lichtman</u></a> thinks the retirement announcements of several prominent Republican lawmakers could be a telling signal in that direction, the scenario in which they join a push for impeachment remains fraught with “ifs.”</em></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>What impeachment charges would entice Republicans is unclear.</em></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>In his USA Today piece, for instance, <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/" target="_blank"><u>Mr. Lichtman</u></a> declared “in the early stages of his presidency, <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/trump-inc/" target="_blank"><u>Trump</u></a> has already begun matching the abuses of Nixon,” but he offered zero evidence to support that charge.</em></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><em>That may be why some modern academics who seem to be riding the impeachment bandwagon calibrate their commitment.</em></p><p></p><p> </p><p>Full report: <a href="https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/11/allan-lichtman-sees-no-politics-donald-trump-impea/" target="_blank"><u>https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/11/allan-lichtman-sees-no-politics-donald-trump-impea/</u></a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Zable, post: 111189, member: 47"] That ^ was last year. Last month, when asked about the current odds for an impeachment of Donald Trump, Prof Lichtman told the Washington Times: [I]“I see grounds for it, as an observer, but I don’t see the politics of it.”[/I] News report extract: [INDENT][I]Sometimes lost in the raucous rancor, as [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/'][U]Mr. Lichtman[/U][/URL] noted, is the difference between the legal case and the politics. While he initially predicted that a Republican [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/congress/'][U]Congress[/U][/URL] would set impeachment into motion, he no longer seems certain.[/I] [I]The one thing that could change all that would be an explosive report from independent counsel Robert Mueller in the coming months that “boxed the Republicans in,” he said.[/I] [I]“The politics of it is really complicated,” [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/'][U]Mr. Lichtman[/U][/URL] said. “I don’t think this is going to develop organically in [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/congress/'][U]Congress[/U][/URL], and so the critical component has to come from the special counsel. One scenario in which the Republicans could act is if pressure built after the special counsel comes back in, say, June with something truly shocking like money laundering or obstruction of justice.”[/I] [I]That would trigger what [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/'][U]Mr. Lichtman[/U][/URL] ranks as a premier rule of holding office, namely survival. If Republicans conclude that defending Mr. [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/trump-inc/'][U]Trump[/U][/URL] from such a report could make the party radioactive in November, they might have to act.[/I] [I]Although [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/'][U]Mr. Lichtman[/U][/URL] thinks the retirement announcements of several prominent Republican lawmakers could be a telling signal in that direction, the scenario in which they join a push for impeachment remains fraught with “ifs.”[/I] [I]What impeachment charges would entice Republicans is unclear.[/I] [I]In his USA Today piece, for instance, [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/allan-lichtman/'][U]Mr. Lichtman[/U][/URL] declared “in the early stages of his presidency, [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/trump-inc/'][U]Trump[/U][/URL] has already begun matching the abuses of Nixon,” but he offered zero evidence to support that charge.[/I] [I]That may be why some modern academics who seem to be riding the impeachment bandwagon calibrate their commitment.[/I][/INDENT] [I] [/I] Full report: [URL='https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/11/allan-lichtman-sees-no-politics-donald-trump-impea/'][U]https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/11/allan-lichtman-sees-no-politics-donald-trump-impea/[/U][/URL] [/QUOTE]
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