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I notice that you say unlikely rather than impossible. The degree of acquiescence to his outrages has been astounding. What if he just says he's staying? At this point who is there to say no?
We were saying that in his first term -- that he wouldn't leave. And January 6th (the details of which are far more muddy than the official version, as is usually the case) proved our fears that he wouldn't go quietly. (He did go when he was supposed to, but left behind a big steaming turd just because he could, and he thought it would be fun).
But he's almost 80, and four years is a brief -- yet lengthy -- time when you're in your eighties. Things change, especially physically.
And, believe it or not, I don't think Trump wants to run again. And even MAGA is likely to be less supportive of him once it becomes obvious even to them that he's Just Another Rich Men's President pretending not to be.
His scam worked before. But the next few years are going to be tough, and End of Empire is nigh.
We're not going back, not to how we think things once were. Nothing is going to be fixed by either party. And Trump will either expire in office or he'll slip away with a surprising quiet when his term is up. If anything, the events of the day will probably upstage his exit (as long as that exit isn't violent, and it probably won't be).